Climate · Tau o le Atunu'u
Climate outlooks & summaries
Seasonal outlook for December 2026 – February 2027.
ENSO status
La Niña Watch
Niño 3.4 index: -0.6 °C
Rainfall outlook
Below 20%Normal 30%Above 50%
Temperature outlook
Below 10%Normal 25%Above 65%
Outlook summary
Above-normal rainfall is favoured for most of Samoa during the coming wet season, with warm sea-surface temperatures increasing the likelihood of heavy rainfall events. Coral bleaching alert level 1 is possible for southern reefs.
Bulletins archive
Samoa Climate Summary — October 2026
Seasonal Climate Outlook — Nov 2026 to Jan 2027
Ocean Outlook & Coral Bleaching — Q4 2026
Annual Climate Statement 2025
Samoa Climate Summary — September 2026